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Forecasts
Predicted prices at 1, 2, and 3 months ahead — each horizon uses the model that tested best AT that horizon on that commodity, run live over today's FRED data. Toggle the horizon to compare.
Forecast horizon:
Forecast summary
Predicted price and expected move over the next 1 month. Each commodity's forecast uses the model that tested best at this horizon.
| Benchmark | Today | 1 month predicted | Impacted |
|---|---|---|---|
Feed Additives & Forage · FRED / BLS PPI (alfalfa hay) | $422.71 | $416.67-1.4%Moving avg + Sentiment· 7% | |
Protein · FRED / IMF (global lamb) | $170.21 | $172.2+1.2%Momentum-drift· 2.5%· prod | |
Grains, Oilseeds & Fats · FRED / IMF (global barley, proxy) | $2.65 | $2.64-0.4%Momentum-drift· 3%· prod | |
Protein · FRED / IMF (global poultry, quarterly) | $1.68 | $1.73+3.0%Naive (drift) + Sentiment + Calendar· 7.1% | |
Protein · FRED / IMF (global poultry, proxy) | $3.67 | $3.69+0.5%Naive (drift)· 1.4% | |
Protein · FRED / BLS PPI (butter proxy) | $105.38 | $102.94-2.3%Momentum-drift· 7.2%· prod | |
Grains, Oilseeds & Fats · FRED / IMF (global maize, proxy) | $5.42 | $5.45+0.6%Momentum-drift· 2.8%· prod | |
Protein · FRED / BLS PPI (dairy proxy) | $235.65 | $235.37-0.1%Momentum-drift· 1%· prod | |
Protein · FRED / BLS PPI (eggs proxy) | $150.98 | $161.68+7.1%Momentum-drift + Sentiment· 27.1% | |
Protein · FRED / IMF (global swine, proxy) | $0.92 | $0.93+1.1%Momentum-drift + Sentiment· 4.3% | |
Protein · FRED / IMF (global beef, proxy) | $3.32 | $3.44+3.6%WLS regression + Sentiment· 1.3% | |
Protein · FRED / BLS PPI (skim milk proxy) | $376.83 | $380.02+0.8%Auto-ARIMA + Sentiment + Calendar· 2.1% | |
Grains, Oilseeds & Fats · FRED / IMF (global soybean meal, proxy) | $329.43 | $331.35+0.6%Momentum-drift· 5.7%· prod | |
Feed Additives & Forage · FRED / BLS PPI (urea proxy) | $144.55 | $142.37-1.5%Momentum-drift + Sentiment· 3% | |
Fruits, Vegetables & Juices · FRED / BLS PPI (fresh vegetables) | $249.84 | $251.91+0.8%Moving avg + Sentiment· 13.9% |
Featured outlook · 1 month
FRED / BLS PPI (alfalfa hay) · Index · Feed Additives & Forage · 1 month $416.67 (-1.4%) · Moving avg + Sentiment · 7% MAPE
FRED / IMF (global lamb) · USD/kg · Protein · 1 month $172.2 (+1.2%) · Momentum-drift · 2.5% MAPE
FRED / IMF (global barley, proxy) · USD/bu · Grains, Oilseeds & Fats · 1 month $2.64 (-0.4%) · Momentum-drift · 3% MAPE
FRED / IMF (global poultry, quarterly) · USD/lb · Protein · 1 month $1.73 (+3.0%) · Naive (drift) + Sentiment + Calendar · 7.1% MAPE
FRED / IMF (global poultry, proxy) · USD/kg · Protein · 1 month $3.69 (+0.5%) · Naive (drift) · 1.4% MAPE
FRED / BLS PPI (butter proxy) · Index · Protein · 1 month $102.94 (-2.3%) · Momentum-drift · 7.2% MAPE
FRED / IMF (global maize, proxy) · USD/bu · Grains, Oilseeds & Fats · 1 month $5.45 (+0.6%) · Momentum-drift · 2.8% MAPE
FRED / BLS PPI (dairy proxy) · Index · Protein · 1 month $235.37 (-0.1%) · Momentum-drift · 1% MAPE
FRED / BLS PPI (eggs proxy) · Index · Protein · 1 month $161.68 (+7.1%) · Momentum-drift + Sentiment · 27.1% MAPE
FRED / IMF (global swine, proxy) · USD/lb · Protein · 1 month $0.93 (+1.1%) · Momentum-drift + Sentiment · 4.3% MAPE
FRED / IMF (global beef, proxy) · USD/lb · Protein · 1 month $3.44 (+3.6%) · WLS regression + Sentiment · 1.3% MAPE
FRED / BLS PPI (skim milk proxy) · Index · Protein · 1 month $380.02 (+0.8%) · Auto-ARIMA + Sentiment + Calendar · 2.1% MAPE
FRED / IMF (global soybean meal, proxy) · USD/mt · Grains, Oilseeds & Fats · 1 month $331.35 (+0.6%) · Momentum-drift · 5.7% MAPE
FRED / BLS PPI (urea proxy) · Index · Feed Additives & Forage · 1 month $142.37 (-1.5%) · Momentum-drift + Sentiment · 3% MAPE
FRED / BLS PPI (fresh vegetables) · Index · Fruits, Vegetables & Juices · 1 month $251.91 (+0.8%) · Moving avg + Sentiment · 13.9% MAPE